Fantasy meets reality: Western Highway Buangor to Ararat


In 2020, I reviewed the economic appraisal and crash history of the Western Highway in Victoria. I did this to help those making legal challenges to the Western Highway Upgrade project and its effect on sacred cultural sites between Buangor and Ararat. They’ve now agreed that I can post my findings for wider reading. ThisContinue reading “Fantasy meets reality: Western Highway Buangor to Ararat”

Induced travel: how quickly do people adapt?


INDUCED travel due to changes in the transport network is a well-known phenomenon. For many years, it was ignored in transport modelling, by accounting only for re-routeing of trips rather than mode shifts or origin and/or destination changes. Nowadays, most modelling includes it, thus producing variable trip matrices between scenarios rather than fixed ones. AContinue reading “Induced travel: how quickly do people adapt?”

North East Link – the perfect storm


North East Link is shaping up as the biggest mistake of the Andrews government’s autocratic approach to transport infrastructure.

It has many problems that will eclipse those of the West Gate Tunnel.

The taxpayer will take the risk of its failure to attract traffic, and it’s not worth the massive impacts on the local people and environment.

Tunnel Tales (1 of 3)


The Government’s assessment of the West Gate Tunnel contained significant errors in the transport modelling and the cost-benefit analysis that made the project seem a lot better than it was. It should never have been approved, and I predict that when it eventually opens it won’t deliver the claimed benefits.